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Are you sure the Yankees are going to chat?



Due to the fact that you have to pay the basic amount in a few years, there is no good reason to hand over Machado and Harper

(Rob Carr / Getty)

I am 92%. You may be a little higher or slightly below, depending on how you feel about how the team is built. No matter where you are, it's important to reach a number. Look at the league. What should I go wrong with the Yankees and everybody else to miss their records? It doesn't seem too likely.

Would signing Bryce Harper or Manny Machado greatly improve your confidence in the Yankees that made the conversation? Probably not, because it is already high. I'm going from 92% to 98%, which means Bronx can't get rid of it completely, and enough jumps are happening in Anaheim, Tampa or Minnesota to get the Yankees out of this scenario.

1

00 instead of 92 on the surface indicates that signing Harper or Machado may not be the best use of resources. Why should you risk only a small improvement in your chances?

Of course, the goal is not just to make replays. Expand this task

Are you sure the Yankees will win the AL East? It has value because we have seen the Wild Card in the past two years. This has the full effect of the confidence you have in the Yankees going to ALDS, which de facto affects their confidence or wins the World Series.

I'm currently 55%. The Red Sox has a few holes and will probably not be as good as last year. Maybe 55% is a little high, maybe it should be 52%, and Red Sox – 45%, and Rays – 3%. But I currently consider 55%. If they signed Harper or Machado, I would be 67%.

Technical mumbo jumbo
Without using all the steps when I trust both their trust, the winning division and the replay, I can run them through similar exercises. Soon: If I have to win them 55 times, that means I have to win them 37 times. If I am 65% confident that they have won a WC game (perhaps too confident here) then they will win 24 times. That's 79 times the ALDS, and 60% of the confidence that ALCS reaches 47 times, and even 55% of the trust they have won is that they only make the world series 26 times, so win 13 times.

After completing each scenario through their various trusts winning at each stage, this is where I will come:

 98% 
Trust
Without H / M With H / M
With H / M M
98%
Win AL East 55% 67%
Win AL Pennant 26% 29%
29%
29%
29%
] 13% 15%

Is the long-lasting 300 million A dollar worth contract that increases by two percentage points increases their winning world series?

Hell so.

it's not just two percentage points this year. By signing one of these free agents, team trust will win the World Series in the coming years. This means that each year, at least five - will have more confidence that the Yankees will win the World Series than you would if they did not sign one of them.

Second, percent Don't talk about the whole story here. By nature, your trust in one team that has won the World Series will not be as big. The field is too big and the baseball is too unpredictable. However, the relative increase may be significant with a small increase of two percentage points. For example, signing Harper or Machado increases my confidence that they will make six percentage points, which in this case is 6.5%. Between 13% and 15% trust they won the World Series - a 15% increase.

By the way, using Cot's pay projection of $ 211,742,500, the signing of Harper or Machado is likely to result in a 15% increase in earnings.

15% increase in wages for a 15% increase in confidence they will win in the World Series? It seems to me right

Given the fact that you have to pay a basic amount over a few years, there is not enough reason to hand over Machada and Harper

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