Associate Editor and Senior National Security Correspondent
Beirut Office Manager covering Lebanon, Syria and the wider region
As Iran can make war with the United States, President Short can become the best friend.
Despite being surprised by the senior assistant and Trump's self-directed conversations over the past two years, the President has repeatedly spoken out against the use of a threatening military force
Was the aim of North Korea with warnings of "fire and fire"? "The wrath" has become a bit more than a "beautiful" change of letters between Trump and Kim Jong, or Venezuela, where the threat of "all options" did not help to disrupt the status quo, the president died. With the expulsion of a US airline and bomber working group with Iran, as well as announcing plans to deploy 120,000 troops, was quickly executed with a brief call that he only wanted to speak with Iranian leaders.
is incompatible with its administration messages, but the image of inconsistency may be helpful. "At least Iran does not know what to think, which may be a good thing at the moment!" he remembered on Friday .
However, when he goes deeper into his second half, short credibility has suffered major foreign policy issues, and his chances have diminished.
"If you are threatening and then people decide that you are not going to follow, if you are looking for a reaction and you stop receiving the reaction, the options are more threatening or not at all," said Jon B. Alterman, Director of Strategic and International Studies Center.
"Reliability is president said," Alterman said. "
Iran, who said he did not want war but was ready for him, responded with his own mood and bellicine rhetoric.
"With the B Team doing one thing & @realDonaldTrump saying another thing, this is the" appa "in the US, which" doesn't know what to think, " Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Friday . Zarifas often mentions John Bolton, a White House National Security Advisor, as a "Team B" manager or just a "mustache".
"We, Iran, Really Know What to Think About for millennia – and about the US, At the moment it's really" a good thing! " "Zarif wrote. In 1953, the CIA organized the demolition of the elected left government in Tehran, strengthening the US-backed monarchy itself, abandoned by the current rulers of the Iranian Chancellery in 1979
. However, Iran is firmly committed to expanding its power in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, and if it is likely that it is declining its American influence in the Middle East because of its short-term aspirations, and regional governments are seeking closer relations with other parts of the world , especially Russia and China.
"Americans do not want and cannot do military action against us … and their reluctance arises from their inability", Brig General Hossein Dehghan, military assistant Ali Khamenei said last week said Iran " Fars News Agency.  The short has clearly outlined his campaign, promising to cancel international agreements, misleading what he called "Unfair" trade agreements and managing US relations with Israel and Saudi Arabia. However, his willingness to turn away from expensive wars and avoid new ones arose in contradiction to the bomb rhetoric of his and his assistants, mainly Bolton and Secretary of State Mike Pompe, and forced both allies and opponents to the divine who dominates the Short Instincts
This was particularly problematic in the case of Iran . Last week, the administration sent an aircraft carrier and blasters to the Persian Gulf in response to what she said was intelligence that Iran and its representatives in the region are attacking US forces and their allies.
that Iran was behind sabotage, which on Sunday chased two Saudi Arabian tankers and a Norwegian ship in the Persian Gulf. However, "it was very well designed to not justify a violent reaction," said Sami Nader, director of the Levant Institute for Strategic Affairs at Beirut. "The goal was to test the American's determination to use power."
"They estimate [Trump] that they would not endanger a protracted or comprehensive war," said Nader. "We'll see more incidents and get out of control."
European Allies who agree with the administration's assessment of Iran's expansionist goals, but still scared out of Trump's withdrawal from Iran's nuclear agreement, were skeptical about intelligence and worrying about miscalculation . “I personally think that the American president does not want to go to war. But this is not a problem, ”said a senior European diplomat, whose government informed Pompeo this week. "The problem is that the situation may become so volatile and so unstable at some point that it is unavoidable."
Republican lawmakers complained that the administration did not inform them of the justification for the deployment, and the Democrats suggested that intelligence was exaggerated to justify Bolton's long-lasting attack on Iran
"Because we are trying to comprehend the tension in the Persian Gulf, we should not forget that sixteen years ago the United States launched a war in Iraq on the basis of distorted and misrepresented intelligence, E. Eliot said in a statement on Wednesday. Y.). "It should never be allowed to recur."
In a Thursday report on a small group of journalists, senior administration officials made a clear explanation saying that their goal was not to start a war, but to deter Iran from taking action in response to the escalating pressure from US sanctions  Briefly expressed his disappointment with Bolton, joking with him and other helpers that "we were at war everywhere if it were for this boy", a senior administrative officer. who heard the comments. The brief often told counselors that he did not want to send any additional troops.
He allowed Bolton, who released the original White House statement, to take the initiative to threaten Tehran by warships. Just a few days Short told reporters that Iran has "great potential". As North Korea said, Iranian leaders should "call me, sitting" to "agree".
If both sides were in a war, Brief said: "I hope not."
Because this month there has been an increase in concern about the growing tension with Iran, the President strongly denied any daylight between him and Bolton. The media bills about the "insult to my strong policy in the Middle East" are "Fake Message," he tweeted this week. "Different opinions are expressed and I make a decisive and final decision – it's a very simple process."
Private Short rejected the unrest in the Middle East, saying to White House officials and informal advisers that nothing is good.
As he repeatedly described, his goal is to have a "hard" and "strong" army that has nothing to do – and use rhetoric that fears people. In a short 70-minute meeting with alternates who often appear on television to come back, Trump focused on China and immigration. He never mentioned Iran
Rep. New York Republican and Short Allied Peter T. King said there was a plan to show that it seemed confusing. "His strategy is to deal with Iran and say he does not want to go to war," the king said. Short, the king said on Friday, is a "good cop and a bad cop." We'll see if it works. I don't think we'll end the war. "
The President added that" there are verbal aggressive and loves sanctions. . . . This may encourage them to be more reconciled. This may not work, but I think people should not. We'll see you in a year.
Sly reported from Beirut.