The emerging trend underscores the difficulty of relying on the Trump administration’s strategy to protect the most vulnerable, with young and healthy people returning to work and school. This approach runs the risk of transmitting the virus when two or three generations have the same home and when many lower-income workers have little choice but to act boldly at work.
Young adults are among the key workers who can return home to parents and grandparents. High school and college kids can show to teachers, parents and grandparents.
Sooner or later, doctors say, most older people and those with health problems will mingle with the younger generation.
“We think when Texas started to open, it was May 1st, that’s when young people went out to bars and restaurants and went out to it, socially gathered,” said Pat Herlihy, emergency department at Baylor St. Luke Medical Center in Houston. “My hypothesis now is that they communicate with larger families, they communicate with children aged 60-70 – parents, uncles, aunts. They interact much more with that vulnerable population. “
Ethnically, different parts of the Solar Belt, where the rapid flow of cartels is growing rapidly, are home to a larger proportion of multi-generational families who live together than other divisions in the United States. Based on an analysis of Pew Research Center census data, the 2016 A record 64 million people – about 20 percent of the U.S. population – lived in homes where at least two generations of adults or grandparents and grandchildren under 25 live.
This is even more true of Spaniards, who have large populations in Florida, the Southwest, and California. About 27 percent. Lives in apartment buildings. A similar number are blacks (26 percent) and Asians (29 percent).
It is impossible to know how any person acquires coronavirus, and people can become infected in a variety of ways throughout a community that spreads sunlight. Thus, the intergenerational debate involves speculation, epidemiological modeling, and research.
To date, more than 4.2 million people in the United States have been infected with the virus that causes covid-19, and more than 145,000 people have died. The number of new cases in the U.S. hovered last week at about 70,000, with more than 1,000 deaths in four direct days. Florida and California set their own death records on a few days, with more than 100 in each state.
In a heartfelt story seen around the world, the Florida woman set out to tell Facebook earlier this month that she believes her 21-year-old stepfather infected her, her husband and their two younger children when he spent time with friends who weren’t wearing masks or away from society. .
The father, John Place, 42, spent 18 days at the fan before doctors could wean him off the device nearly two weeks ago, Michelle Zymet of Plantation, Fla., Said in an interview on Saturday. But Place is still seriously ill, hospitalized and suffering from the depressing effects of covidium-19, Zymet said.
“I prayed with him every day,” Zymet told her son. “I was that maniac. Please put on a mask. Hand disinfectant. Social distance. “
Younger adults need to understand that “you don’t live in a bubble,” she said. “You have to think about all the members of the community. Don’t just think about yourself. “
In a post on her Facebook page, Zymet also said that she “is not trying to beat my stepfather or take the blame on him. … He feels terrible about what happened and just wants others not to make the same mistake he made! “
On Monday, the White House announced that national security adviser Robert C. O’Brien had signed a deal with a coronavirus. O’Brien probably caught the virus from his daughter, chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow said. No more information.
Experts note that younger people become disproportionately asymptomatic, so some may not know they are bringing it home.
Peter Paige, chief physician of the Miami Jackson Health System, said that about a month ago, about 40 percent of people hospitalized for covid-19 in three system facilities were 65 years of age or older. That share has now risen to about 55 percent.
About 60-65 percent. The number of people who are now dying from the age of 19 is in that age range – that number is approaching the proportions of the early days of a pandemic, he said.
Meanwhile, in Jackson’s emergency departments, 85 to 90 percent of patients with 19 patients are under the age of 65, Paige said. Many of them don’t need to be allowed.
“The younger population seems to be much more positive, but it is likely that the population at risk is the most likely to die,” he said.
In recent days, the mayors of Miami, Miami-Dade County and Broward County have said that household transfers have become a critical factor in the outbreak in the area.
“I would like to tell my residents jie that they should consider, especially if they live from generation to generation, sometimes wearing masks outdoors … and being at home respecting social distance,” Miami Mayor Francis Suarez (R) said in the news. conference last week.
Miami-Dade County Mayor Carlos A. Giménez (R) also urged people to distance themselves from family members who could transmit the virus without even appearing sick.
“Yes, I know it’s a victim,” he said, “but do it, because again, just because it’s your son or daughter, or your cousin, or your mother, or your father, doesn’t mean they don’t.” I have no secret. “
Recent household transfer surveys are mixed. Researchers who surveyed household contacts in Guangzhou, China, in January and February, estimated that 12.4 percent of close relatives living in the same home became infected with the virus. Members of his family, according to research published last month in the journal Lancet Infectious Diseases.
However, a separate statistical analysis of eight European countries earlier this month found no convincing evidence in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences that intergenerational relations had contributed to the spread or severity of the pandemic in those locations.
Data analyzed by John Graves, an associate professor of health policy at Vanderbilt University School of Medicine in Tennessee, showed an increase in infections in young adults in the Nashville and Memphis areas. Graves attributed the increment to that age group returning to the city center bars because the closure was easier, and later on July 4th. For gatherings.
Now data show that older adults are also infected.
“This shows that the initial sowing is now starting to spread to the older generations,” he said.
The trend is not universal. In Los Angeles, where the number of cases is on the rise, the outbreak is still concentrated among younger adults, said Neha Nanda, chief medical officer for infection prevention and antimicrobial treatment at USC Keck Medicine.
The average age of people admitted to district hospitals during the first increase was about 60, and this time between 35 and 40, she said. Many young adults with covid-19 are sent home from emergency departments and study sites because their symptoms are mild, she said.
“I don’t think that’s happening yet,” Nanda said of the older adults shown in hospitals. “I don’t rule out that possibility.”